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H H S Department of Health and Human Services
Health Resources and Services Administration
Blood Cell Transplant

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Detailed Description for Understanding U.S. Patient Survival Probability Estimates

Sample Report : Acute Myeloid Leukemia – 1st remission
From 2003 through 2008

  • When the patients in this report received a bone marrow or umbilical cord blood transplant, their Acute Myeloid Leukemia (AML) was in remission after receiving treatment. (Remission means the disease responded well to treatment.)
  • These transplants were performed between January 1, 2003 and December 31, 2008. The data were reported voluntarily by transplant centers in the United States. (More transplants to treat this disease may have been performed, but the data were not reported to the Center for International Blood and Marrow Transplant Research® or the National Marrow Donor Program®.)

This is an example row from the report:

Donor TypePatient GenderNumber of Patients EvaluatedSurvival Probability Estimate
At a 95% Confidence Interval (CI)
(Explain)
100 Days After Transplant1 Year After Transplant3 Years After Transplant
AutologousFemale39595.1%
-----
CI = 92.6 - 96.8%
71.2%
-----
CI = 66.1 - 75.8%
47.6%
-----
CI = 41.1 - 53.7%

 Explanation of terms using the above example:

ExampleExplanation
Donor Type: AutologousData was reported for patients who received a transplant using their own cells.
Patient Gender: Female
Number of Patients Evaluated: 395
395 female patients were observed 100 days after transplant.
Survival Probability Estimate 1 Year After Transplant: 71.2%This number, 71.2%, represents the best estimate of the chance that a female, autologous transplant, AML patient will be alive at 1 year after transplant. This estimate is based on the data reported.
95% Confidence Interval 1 Year After Transplant: CI = 66.1 - 75.8%This interval represents the statistical certainty of the survival probability estimate, based on the data reported. There is 95% certainty that the chance of a female, autologous transplant, AML patient being alive 1 year after transplant is between 66.1% and 75.8%.